Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.183110 0.218266 0.257759 0.305324 0.360970 0.423915 0.500423
2025-04-06 0.128677 0.172784 0.227915 0.301525 0.396826 0.515595 0.674328
2025-04-13 0.098446 0.144720 0.207408 0.297783 0.423838 0.592368 0.833476
2025-04-20 0.082513 0.130700 0.200426 0.307407 0.465816 0.689769 1.027840
2025-04-27 0.075126 0.126818 0.205913 0.333787 0.532811 0.827489 1.292378
2025-05-04 0.066361 0.118817 0.203316 0.346622 0.579988 0.940205 1.531403
2025-05-11 0.056148 0.106392 0.191412 0.342317 0.598789 1.010459 1.711509
2025-05-18 0.046504 0.093092 0.175756 0.329022 0.600323 1.052213 1.848976
2025-05-25 0.038310 0.080881 0.159957 0.312832 0.594143 1.079430 1.963605
2025-06-01 0.034466 0.076276 0.157137 0.319299 0.627959 1.176867 2.205675
2025-06-08 0.029243 0.067948 0.145979 0.308453 0.628541 1.215592 2.347809
2025-06-15 0.026727 0.064844 0.144566 0.316134 0.664480 1.320752 2.618274
2025-06-22 0.024036 0.061080 0.141651 0.321232 0.697642 1.427104 2.907338
2025-06-29 0.020917 0.055780 0.134749 0.317239 0.712446 1.500762 3.143342
2025-07-06 0.018267 0.051065 0.128351 0.313314 0.726692 1.574403 3.386021
2025-07-13 0.016893 0.049266 0.128291 0.323405 0.771796 1.714048 3.773018
2025-07-20 0.016683 0.050466 0.135479 0.351058 0.858415 1.946957 4.370914
2025-07-27 0.015660 0.049263 0.136616 0.364511 0.914554 2.120865 4.861007
2025-08-03 0.013853 0.045493 0.130708 0.359999 0.928735 2.205921 5.169761
2025-08-10 0.011870 0.040778 0.121572 0.346064 0.918869 2.236992 5.363857
2025-08-17 0.010047 0.036134 0.111831 0.329092 0.899418 2.244302 5.505413
2025-08-24 0.009316 0.034801 0.111072 0.335872 0.939837 2.392645 5.978725
2025-08-31 0.008068 0.031478 0.104050 0.324501 0.932531 2.428274 6.194994